by Nancy Spring
If your clean tech company was looking for financing, the Clean Tech Investor Summit was the place to be.
Unfortunately, if your clean tech company was counting on financing any time soon, the chances aren’t good.
The conference, now in its fifth year, brought venture capitalists and emerging clean tech companies from diverse sectors together in Palm Springs, Calif., in January, for two days of panel sessions and networking opportunities.
In the session that addressed strategies for clean-tech financing in a credit-constrained world, panelists presented a sobering vision of the financial markets today. Money will be very tight in 2009 and when the crisis will end is not clear.
‘Get Through the Next 12 Months’
The Clean Tech Investor Summit offered sessions covering a broad range of clean technology issues, including electric car infrastructure, carbon capture and sequestration and utility-scale solar.
The clean tech sector is the fastest growing area of the venture asset class and fertile ground for growth and profits, said Ira Ehrenpreis, general partner, Technology Partners, and conference chairman. The environment and profit go hand in hand, according to Ehrenpreis. “Clean tech is all about the green, not the environment,” he said.
Ehrenpreis expects a “huge” amount of capital to flow into clean tech in the coming years, especially if the developing world “leapfrogs” into the 21st century instead of reliving the 20th.
But for the short term, the financial crisis is likely to take its toll on the clean tech sector.
Only very conservative projects are being considered, said Scott Brown, CEO, New Energy Capital, one of the bankers and corporate leaders assembled for the summit’s financing panel session.
“The tax equity markets are really dead,” said Brown. “It’s difficult to get projects built, across the whole sector. The big banks have pulled back. The debt markets are hurt. Fees are high.”
According to the panelists, the current investment environment favors late-stage development or construction-ready projects, with the focus on low-risk deals in wind, biomass and solar.
The clean tech market is “tough” right now, said Brown, and until there’s stability in the markets, panelists agreed, the short term outlook won’t change.
“The long term is positive, but we need to have certainty, that’s the key,” said Jeff Lipton, managing director, Jefferies & Company.
GE Energy Financial Services managing director, renewable energy, Kevin Walsh, said there is a “lot of distressed paper in the secondary market” and his company is busy reducing leverage. He said GE wants to be active but can’t find partners.
“I do share the optimism in Washington,” said Walsh, “but 2009 will be tough.”
What kind of projects are getting done?
Solar projects may attract funding, but only those that have been in the works for a while, and Gary Vollen, managing director, Stanford Group Co., said his company focuses on geothermal. “But we like a lot of sectors,” said Vollen. “Waste-to-energy is interesting and the smart grid and energy efficiency will be fairly easy to finance.”
Lipton said the fuels markets are over capacity and over-leveraged, which will drive merger and acquisition activity, but the federal stimulus bill could create some bright spots in the areas of weatherization, efficiency and combined heat and power (CHP).
“Companies will look at tapping into the stimulus package, companies that are in the smart grid and efficiency,” said Lipton. “The long term is positive. We just need to get through the next 12 months.”
A ‘Brutal’ Year
Pacific Gas & Electric Chairman , CEO and President, Peter Darbee, expressed a more upbeat message, although it was tempered with realism.
Darbee said PG&E will investigate the full spectrum of opportunities the smart grid and smart meters offer and “the great new opportunity we see in the electric car” in the 2010 to 2020 timeframe.
PG&E also expects to do more with solar energy. “We’ll see major central solar and solar on a more disparate distributed basis, on rooftops,” said Darbee. “We have been the procurer before but we’ll move to be equity investors. We will look at wind, but that will be secondary.”
Those looking to do business with regulated utilities need to know their market, Darbee warned. “You could bankrupt your company waiting for a utility.”
Andrew Beebe, managing director at Suntech Energy Solutions, a unit of Suntech Power Holdings Co., one of the world’s largest photovoltaic module makers, said roadblocks for new solar installations in the U.S. include siting issues, environmental review and the lack of a federal renewable portfolio standard. Beebe warned companies not to rely on those factors changing any time soon.
“No one should build a business plan around pending legislation,” he said. “It’s going to be a brutal year for solar and we’ll see a lot of companies going out of business.”
Next week: Carbon capture and sequestration discussion at the Clean Tech Investor Summit.